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Waiting on Appointments

2026-08-28 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 4 min read

The Treasury Market May Not Be Breaking... It May Be Searching for a New Price

2026-09-24 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 13 min read

The Marginal Buyer Is a Carry Trade

2026-09-07 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 9 min read

The Valuation Hierarchy Is Backwards

The next GLP-1 trade may be real. But the prices investors are paying for Veradermics, Absci and Cosmo tell a much stranger story.

2026-10-05 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 16 min read

The $900 Billion Prepayment

Anthropic may become one of the largest companies ever built. That still does not make it worth $2 trillion today.

2026-09-29 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 11 min read

The Clearing Price

Airtable grew revenue 20% and sold for 89% off. The argument left is not whether $3.8 trillion of private equity reprices — it's how fast, and who absorbs it.

2026-08-08 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 12 min read

The Market Has Started Sorting Platform Businesses by What They Cost to Defend

Growth stopped being the answer. Defensibility is the new multiple.

2026-04-02 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 7 min read

Stop Measuring Product-Market Fit. Start Measuring Macro-Economic Fit.

Execution is now a commodity. Your metrics should reflect that.

2026-04-01 · David H. Friedel Jr. · 11 min read
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